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Welcome back to New World Next Week – the video series from Corbett Report and Media Monarchy that covers some of the most important developments in open source intelligence news. This week:
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Story #1: Kids Preferred Books to Screens, So School Brings Back Textbooks
eBay Data Reveals Resurgence of Physical Media (Dec. 26, 2017)
Story #2: GM Mosquitoes Breeding in Brazil, Despite Biotech Firm’s Assurances to Contrary
“Transgenic Aedes Aegypti Mosquitoes Transfer Genes Into a Natural Population”
Story #3: A Half-Decade Late, NY Post Admits ISIS Is Run By NATO Member Turkey
“Why Isn’t the Media Covering Turkish President Erdogan’s Ties to ISIS?”
Pakistan Army Trained Al-Qaeda, But Back When “Jihadis Were Heroes”, PM Khan Admits
Episode 295 – Who Is Really Behind ISIS?
#GoodNewsNextWeek: Become Your Own Knitting Factory
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“Houthi attacks are not over, and further drone swarms are inevitable”
Interesting analysis on #SaudiAramco attack and future consequences for #Oil by Mr Escobar
http://thesaker.is/how-yemens-houthis-are-bringing-down-a-goliath/
Maybe the kinetic war will cool down a bit. We’ll see.
September 27, 2019 Zero Hedge “Tyler Durden”
Oil Tumbles On Report Saudis Agree To Partial Ceasefire With Yemen
https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/oil-tumbles-report-saudis-agree-partial-ceasefire-yemen
EXCERPT
…Of course, chances are the deal collapses quickly: the new cease-fire faces steep odds, as similar arrangements have crumbled before, the WSJ notes.
Both sides continue to carry out attacks, including a Saudi airstrike north of San’a on Tuesday that killed several civilians. The internal Houthi divisions could undermine the peace efforts, as they have in the past…
…In any case, in kneejerk reaction Brent tumbled as much as 1.8%, dropping to a session low of $61.6, down $1.00 in seconds, and erasing all of last week’s gains.
Climate and the Money Trail
The very mega-corporations and mega-billionaires behind the globalization of the world economy over recent decades, whose pursuit of shareholder value and cost reduction who have wreaked so much damage to our environment both in the industrial world and in the under-developed economies of Africa, Asia, Latin America, are the leading backers of the “grass roots” decarbonization movement from Sweden to Germany to the USA and beyond. Bill Engdahl
https://journal-neo.org/2019/09/25/climate-and-the-money-trail/
Thnx will watch later – Greta what goes around ….
https://www.zerohedge.com/political/were-group-12-year-olds-trying-make-difference-1992-un-climate-crisis-redux
Interesting book review and analysis of huawei spat / tradewar
“About to Go Dark
Not only the Chinese, but South Korean, Japanese, British and other teams are building the capability to embed quantum communications in the new 5G networks. Not only will China go dark to U.S. signals intelligence; the rest of the world will, too, and in short order. Huawei’s 5G systems will wipe out America’s longstanding advantage in electronic eavesdropping. The U.S. intelligence community spends $80 billion a year, mostly on SIGINT, and the whole investment is at risk. Washington’s view, dutifully reported by Gertz, is that Huawei’s dominance in 5G systems will allow China to steal everyone’s data. The reality is far more ominous, as I understand it. China will enable the rest of the world to cut off America’s access to everyone else’s data. When Secretary of State Mike Pompeo urged a senior German official not to buy Huawei’s broadband, the German replied that China hadn’t eavesdropped on Chancellor Merkel’s cell-phone conversations, as had the United States.
Huawei owns 40 percent of the patents related to fifth-generation broadband, largely because it spent twice as much on research and development as its two largest rivals (Ericsson and Nokia) combined. The strategic challenge to the United States comes not from Chinese technology theft, obnoxious as that is, but from Chinese innovation backed by state resources. The American intelligence community realized too late that China had gained the upper hand, and convinced the Trump administration to try to postpone the 5G rollout until it could work out what to do next. The failure is of such catastrophic proportions that no one in a position of responsibility dare acknowledge it for fear of taking the blame.”
https://www.lawliberty.org/2019/09/12/we-need-our-mojo-back-vis-a-vis-china/
Apologies for number of posts – getting bored waiting for a plumber to arrive 🙂
Very interesting. Good post.
I suspected that Huawei presented a huge security risk to the U.S., because North America has been adamant about crushing Huawei (and its associates).
I think that we really are in a hybrid war. It is a whole different approach to warfare, much like Corbett mentioned in his precious talks.
~~~
Ukdavec.
By the way, I love your posts. This is an “Open Source Intelligence News” website forum.
Keep it up.
Who knows?…maybe someday, folks will refer to Corbett Report comment section instead of Zero Hedge. Or, perhaps Zero Hedge, Activist Post, and other news sources will grab their groceries here for an article they might write.
Thnx
5G: Why We Don’t Believe in the 5G “Cycle”…
May 21, 2019
Key Takeaway
We’re negative on prospects for a 5G investment “cycle” from wireless operators. Based on our analysis, we think the ROI associated with 5G capex investments is significantly less attractive than it was for prior 3G and 4G investments.
Our view is primarily based on a study of economics. Specifically, we’ve looked at 20years of capex spending data, operational metrics, and financial metrics from all of the North American wireless operators.
China May Be The Exception
Chinese mobile operators could be viewed as simply implementing government policy. As such, their investment decisions may be less connected to fundamental economic forces.
https://www.jefferies.com/OurFirm/2/1593
5G Capital Expenditures Not Viable
EXCERPTS
…Based on our analysis, we believe that the conditions for an acceptable Return on Investment (ROI) on 5G infrastructure are poor. Moreover, the 5G investment ROI looks drastically lower than the ROI associated with prior wireless investment cycles – specifically 3G and 4G.
The major difference is that the Wireless Service market is now a mature business. As such, operators’ motivations for major capital investments will be reduced.
To be clear, we still believe that 5G infrastructure deployment will happen.
We expect that it will simply be a cutover of existing 4G investments to 5G technology. Most importantly, we don’t expect the overall capex spending pie will grow as a result of 5G technology availability. In order to grow the overall wireless market (and therefore capex budgets), the market requires new 5G specific applications that will enable new revenue streams and ARPU growth – we’re just not seeing them yet. In total, we’re cautious on the notion of a 5G “cycle.”….
~~~
Lack of Funding Can Kill 5G
I see this as encouraging news. 5G is just not economically viable at this time.
5G is over-hyped by the PR industry.
If the word gets out, investor money withdrawals will help to kill 5G. Investors don’t care about health factors, but “dollar factors” are game changers.
It reminds me of the “Great Fracking Con” started by Aubrey McClendon. For many, many years, fracking was hyped as the new profitable way to pull money out of the ground. It was a con job. Many billions of dollars were invested into these oil/gas fracking companies, but that money has flared off like methane waste.
It takes $60 a barrel oil or more to break even on most fracking wells, if the company knows what it is doing.
Thanks for the review.
Ukdavec,
Impressive stuff.
I had to go back and re-read that September 12th, 2019 article by David P. Goldman entitled “We Need Our Mojo Back Vis-à-Vis China”. https://www.lawliberty.org/2019/09/12/we-need-our-mojo-back-vis-a-vis-china/
Goldman’s perspective brought me a lot of insights.
UKdavec, that line from your last quoted paragraph: ”The failure is of such catastrophic proportions that no one in a position of responsibility dare acknowledge it for fear of taking the blame,” is so spot on. It is predictable U.S. government behavior and gives us an idea of what kind of confusion to expect from the U.S. side.
MORE EXCERPTS
Domination of E-Commerce and E-Finance
…The world will become a Chinese company store: Chinese banks will lend the money, Huawei will build the broadband network and sell the handsets, Alibaba and JD.Com will market the products, Ant Financial will make micro-loans, and Chinese companies will build airports and railroads and ports…
…In my view, this is far more alarming than what Gertz envisions…
…China will lock whole countries into Chinese hardware through state-financed national broadband networks, including Brazil and Mexico, where construction is underway.
It understands the network effect that made Amazon and Facebook dominant players in the U.S. market, and will use its financial and technological head start to establish the same sort of virtual monopoly for Chinese companies throughout the Global South…
… China envisions a virtual empire, with military deployments to protect key trade routes, starting with oil…
…Meanwhile China has invested heavily in high-tech weaponry, including satellite killers. During the first minutes of war, the United States and China would destroy each other’s communications and reconnaissance satellites.
But China has a network of thousands of high-altitude balloons around its coasts, too many for U.S. forces to destroy…
Why a Shooting War Is Unlikely
…With few exceptions its military priority is control of its own coastline. That in my view is why a shooting war is not likely. America cannot win a war on China’s coast, and China has scant interest in fighting anywhere else.
As we examine the details, the picture of a Soviet-style communist regime bent on world domination falls apart.
China’s concept of world domination is so different from what we imagine that it has halfway come to fruition before we noticed it….
I hate those paper mites and dust also. They can mess with the nose. Sometimes, I have to grab a wet towel and wipe my face after handling old books.
As a past bookstore owner, I still love books and newspapers and magazines.
You would not believe how many people are discarding their books in this era. But, I understand. They take up space. I see tons discarded every week.
I am still old school, with paper and pen at my desk. In fact, I think letters are unique in this era…and I often prefer to mail them over an email. In a way, it honors the receiver.
I like the fact that I can read a book under gaslight if needed. Rather than being gaslighted by a book that can rewrite itself as I sleep.
Octium says:
“I like the fact that I can read a book under gaslight if needed.
Rather than being gaslighted by a book that can rewrite itself as I sleep.”
🙂
Ah, good one mate!
I really dislike reading books on a screen. Maybe it’s because I’ve been reading actual books for so long. But I just don’t like digital books. The fact that they can be edited even removed from your device just sucks.
Ragnar, Octium and Homey; listen to them Mr. Corbett. All the more reason to write and publish that book for posterity. If Elana Freeland can compile the public information on TPTSB and find a publisher for her Cassandra song voluntarily we know it could be done. With all the encouragement of all the volunteers ” write the damn book for the book worms to cherish”. Please. Brock West could contribute 3 chapters contribution standing on his head.
What do i know Im just a bottle washer. There’s plenty of editors in Houston that would agree.
Fluoride
Some very interesting podcasts in this series.
The #Fpollution Podcast Series ~ Hosted by Melissa Gallico
https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLcQaIZX8EOJbAtZQ5XvgMXx37Rf-yh0bp
Books? No books? Gott’a go with the school on this one.
Much prefer physical books myself. Reading a lighted device can be distracting and hard to get settled-into. But I do use a digital device for on-the-go reading (so I’m not bored while waiting for/on something). Nevertheless, the smell of a new book while curled up in a cozy chair can’t be beat. Device reading doesn’t give me that feeling of quiet. Because I purchase loads of old books that are not available in a digitized format I’d agree the pages can be rife with molds making for a sneezy experience sometimes. I trade sneezes for access to writings of authors who lived the timeline about which they write. Nothing comes close to firsthand perspectives and primary source material.
New book from Douglas Murray is worth tracking down.
The Madness of Crowds: Gender, Race and Identity by Douglas Murray
In his devastating new book The Madness of Crowds, Douglas Murray examines the twenty-first century’s most divisive issues: sexuality, gender, technology and race. He reveals the astonishing new culture wars playing out in our workplaces, universities, schools and homes in the names of social justice, identity politics and ‘intersectionality’.
We are living through a postmodern era in which the grand narratives of religion and political ideology have collapsed. In their place have emerged a crusading desire to right perceived wrongs and a weaponization of identity, both accelerated by the new forms of social and news media. Narrow sets of interests now dominate the agenda as society becomes more and more tribal – and, as Murray shows, the casualties are mounting.
He ends with an impassioned call for free speech, shared common values and sanity in an age of mass hysteria.
Interview here
https://www.entertainment-focus.com/book-section/book-interviews/interview-douglas-murray-talks-gender-and-identity-politics-for-his-latest-book-the-madness-of-crowds/
Concepts of this book applied to the Climate debate.
https://wattsupwiththat.com/2019/09/26/understanding-the-climate-movement-the-impotence-of-science/
A World Without Books: the End Game for Social Justice Radicals?
https://www.strategic-culture.org/news/2019/09/29/world-without-books-end-game-for-social-justice-radicals/
There’s definitely something about text displayed on a monitor that causes difficulty in taking in the information.
Can’t quite describe it but it feels something like looking through a clouded lens, listening through a muffled speaker or trying to talk while drunk.
There’s a much cleaner, crisper connection when reading printed text.
Perhaps the screen flicker/refresh is the cause.
Good news bad news
Mortality rates are hardly improving. Life expectancy forecasts are falling fast. At first this was considered an anomaly, then a flu related one-off, now a trend.
However, from this tragedy comes an uncomfortable truth; reducing life expectancy forecasts releases hidden value in annuity back books.
The Mortality Improvement Crisis
Although life expectancy has more than doubled since 1900, mortality improvements have collapsed since 2011, with annual improvements falling from >2.5% to <0.5%. Though the underlying causes remain contentious, in our view the slowdown is due to a combination of three factors:
• Heightened mortality amongst the elderly when the dominant flu strain is A(H3N2).
• Increased strain on social services and healthcare.
• Lower improvement rates from reduced heart disease fatalities, where since 2000 this has been a key driver of rising life expectancy. Future improvements must be found by reducing mortality from other conditions, most notably dementia.
https://javatar.bluematrix.com/docs/pdf/483fad39-0997-4483-8c43-f4e6b0ffff21.pdf
http://keysmosquito.org/oxitec-mosquito-trial/
I thought subscribers in this area might be interested in oxitecs trials in the USA. Apologies if already posted.
Along the lines of Hugh’s comment above, I also meant to link to (but got sidetracked and completely forgot about it until now) Cryptogon’s post in mid-September on mosquito manipulation news featuring numerous, disturbing links, the most recent from the New York Post excerpted below. One of those links is from April 2018 about an environmental activist from Key West who was visiting DC to petition the EPA against the multiple releases of the modified mosquitoes into the population but before her appearance was found dead in the hotel’s swimming pool.
NY Post Excerpt:
https://www.cryptogon.com/?p=55931
For the climate realist left in the world. I like this Canadian. Michelle Sterling
She could be a natural as a teacher. The UN has done itself in. We can only hope.
https://youtu.be/FndpWfCUgh0